President Donald Trump has scrapped the tax plan he campaigned on and is going back to the drawing board in a search for Republican consensus behind legislation to overhaul the U.S. tax system.
The
administration's first attempt to write legislation is in its early
stages and the White House has kept much of it under wraps. But it has
already sprouted the consideration of a series of unorthodox proposals
including a drastic cut to the payroll tax, aimed at appealing to
Democrats.
Some
view the search for new options as a result of Trump's refusal to set
clear parameters for his plan and his exceedingly challenging endgame:
reducing tax rates enough to spur faster growth without blowing up the
budget deficit.
Administration
officials say it's now unlikely that a tax overhaul will meet the
August deadline set by Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin. But the
ambitious pace to figure out a plan reflects Trump's haste to move
quickly past a bruising failure to broker a compromise within his own
party on how to replace the health insurance law enacted under President
Barack Obama.
The
White House is trying to learn the lessons from health care. Rather
than accepting a bill written by the lawmakers, White House officials
are taking a more active role. Administration officials have signaled
that they want to pass tax legislation with only Republican votes, yet
they've also held listening sessions with House Democrats.
White
House aides say the goal is to cut tax rates sharply enough to improve
the economic picture in depressed rural and industrial pockets of the
country where many Trump voters live. But the administration so far has
swatted down alternative ways for raising revenues, such as a carbon
tax, to offset lower rates.
Trump,
who brands himself as a deal-maker, has not said which trade-offs he
might accept and he has remained noncommittal on the leading blueprint,
from Rep. Kevin Brady, chairman of the Ways and Means Committee.
Brady,
R-Texas, has proposed a border adjustment system, which would eliminate
corporate deductions on imports, to raise $1 trillion over 10 years
that could fund lower corporate tax rates.
But
that possibility has rankled retailers who say it would lead to higher
prices and threaten millions of jobs, while some lawmakers have worried
that the system would violate World Trade Organization rules.
Brady has said he intends to amend the blueprint but has not spelled out how he would do so.
Other options are being shopped on Capitol Hill.
One
circulating this past week would change the House Republican plan to
eliminate much of the payroll tax and cut corporate tax rates. This
would require a new dedicated funding source for Social Security.
The
change, proposed by a GOP lobbyist with close ties to the Trump
administration, would transform Brady's plan on imports into something
closer to a value-added tax by also eliminating the deduction of labor
expenses. This would bring it in line with WTO rules and generate an
additional $12 trillion over 10 years, according to budget estimates.
Those additional revenues could then enable the end of the 12.4 percent
payroll tax, split evenly between employers and employees, that funds
Social Security, while keeping the health insurance payroll tax in
place.
This
approach would give a worker earning $60,000 a year an additional
$3,720 in take-home pay, a possible win that lawmakers could highlight
back in their districts even though it would involve changing the
funding mechanism for Social Security, according to the lobbyist, who
asked for anonymity to discuss the proposal without disrupting early
negotiations.
Although
some billed this as a bipartisan solution, and President Barack Obama
did temporarily cut the payroll tax after the Great Recession, others
note it probably would run into firm opposition from Democrats who
loathe to be seen as undermining Social Security.
The
White House would not comment on the plan, but said a value-added tax
based on consumption is not under consideration "as of now," according
to a White House statement.
The
lack of detail about how to significantly rewrite tax laws for the
first time in 30 years may provide Trump some time to build consensus
among Republicans. But without Trump laying down his hand, lawmakers
appear reluctant to back a plan that will likely stir controversy.
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