The FBI
investigation of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s failure to protect
state secrets contained in her emails has entered its penultimate phase, and it
is a dangerous one for her and her aides.
Federal law
enforcement sources have let it be known that federal prosecutors and the FBI
have completed their examination of raw data in the case. After the FBI
acquires raw data -- for example, the nature and number of the state secrets in
the emails Clinton failed to protect or the regular, consistent, systematic
nature of that failure -- prosecutors and agents proceed to draw rational
inferences from that data.
Then they proceed
to corroborate those inferences, looking for other sources to support or even
to contradict them. With one exception, all of this work has been done with
neutral sources of evidence -- documents, email metadata, government records
and technical experts.
The exception is
Bryan Pagliano, the one member of Clinton's inner circle who, with either a
written promise of non-prosecution or an order of immunity from a federal
judge, began to cooperate with federal prosecutors last fall.
Here is what he told the feds.
Pagliano has
explained to federal prosecutors the who, what, when, how and why he migrated
an open State Department email stream and a secret State Department email
stream from government computers to Clinton's secret server in her home in
Chappaqua, New York. He has told them that Clinton paid him $5,000 to commit
that likely criminal activity.
He has also told
some of the 147 FBI agents assigned to this case that Clinton herself was repeatedly
told by her own State Department information technology experts and their
colleagues at the National Security Agency that her persistent use of her
off-the-shelf BlackBerry was neither an effective nor an acceptable means of
receiving, transmitting or safeguarding state secrets. Little did they know how
reckless she was with government secrets, as none was apparently then aware of
her use of her non-secure secret server in Chappaqua for all of her email uses?
We know that the
acquisition and corroboration phase of the investigation has been completed
because the prosecutors have begun to ask Clinton's top aides during her time
as secretary of state to come in for interviews. This is a delicate and
dangerous phase for the aides, all of whom have engaged counsel to represent
them.
Here are the dangers.
The Department of
Justice will not reveal to the aides or their lawyers what it knows about the
case or what evidence of criminal wrongdoing, if any, it has acquired on each
of them. Hence, if they submit to an FBI interview, they will go in
"blind." By going in blind, the aides run the risk of getting caught
in a "perjury trap." Though not under oath, they could be trapped
into lying by astute prosecutors and aggressive FBI agents, as it is a crime --
the equivalent of perjury -- to lie to them or materially mislead them.
For this reason,
most white-collar criminal defense lawyers will not permit their clients to be
interviewed by any prosecutors or FBI agents. Martha Stewart's lawyers failed
to give her that advice, and she went to prison for one lie told in one
conversation with one FBI agent.
After interviewing
any Clinton aides who choose to be interviewed, the DOJ personnel on the case
will move their investigation into its final phase, in which they will ask
Clinton herself whether she wishes to speak with them. The prosecutors will
basically tell her lawyers that they have evidence of the criminal behavior of
their client and that before they present it to a grand jury, they want to
afford Clinton an opportunity blindly to challenge it.
This will be a
moment she must devoutly wish would pass from her, as she will face a
damned-if-you-do, damned-if-you-don't dilemma.
Here is her dilemma.
If she were to talk
to federal prosecutors and FBI agents, they would catch her in many
inconsistencies, as she has spoken with great deception in public about this
case. She has, for example, stated many times that she used the private server
so she could have one mobile device for all of her emails. The FBI knows she had
four mobile devices. She has also falsely claimed publicly and under oath that
she neither sent nor received anything “marked classified.” The FBI knows that
nothing is marked classified, and its agents also know that her unprotected
secret server transmitted some of the nation’s gravest secrets.
The prosecutors and
agents cannot be happy about her public lies and her repeated demeaning
attitude about their investigation, and they would have an understandable
animus toward her if she were to meet with them.
If she were to
decline to be interviewed -- a prudent legal but treacherous political decision
-- the feds would leak her rejection of their invitation, and political turmoil
would break loose because one of her most imprudent and often repeated public
statements in this case has been that she can't wait to talk to the FBI. That’s
a lie, and the FBI knows it.
Some Democrats who
now understand the gravity of the case against Clinton have taken to arguing
lately that the feds should establish a different and higher bar -- a novel and
unknown requirement for a greater quantum of evidence and proof of a heavier
degree of harm -- before Clinton can be prosecuted. They have suggested this
merely because she is the likely Democratic presidential nominee.
The public will
never stand for that. America has a bedrock commitment to the rule of law. The
rule of law means that no one is beneath the law’s protections or above its
requirements. The DOJ is not in the business of rewriting the law, but the
Democrats should get in the business of rethinking Clinton’s status as their
presumptive presidential nominee, lest a summer catastrophe come their way.
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